G2E: California betting initiative could launch as early as 2026, but more likely in 2028

Two years after California’s sports betting initiatives failed dramatically, discussions are heating up about a new approach. On October 8, during the Global Gaming Expo (G2E) in Las Vegas, James Siva, chairman of the California Nations Indian Gaming Association (CNIGA), hinted at future plans for a tribal-led sports betting initiative. Speaking on the timing, Siva suggested that while 2026 is possible, 2028 is more likely.

Siva made these remarks while participating in a panel titled “Tribal Sovereignty and Sports Betting: A Delicate Balance,” alongside leaders from other tribal gaming associations. He noted that tribes are already restarting conversations about what a future legal sports betting initiative could look like, emphasizing that any proposal will likely consider online casino gaming in some form.

Siva highlighted the complexity of the issue, especially with over 100 tribes involved, which makes consensus-building a long process. While California would be the largest online gaming market in the US, Siva indicated that the proposal may lean towards in-person betting or a staged approach.

In addition to the ongoing discussions, California tribes scored a recent legal victory when Governor Gavin Newsom signed a bill allowing them a one-time opportunity to sue local cardrooms. Tribes argue that cardrooms’ use of third-party providers, known as TPPPS, violates their exclusive rights to gaming under state law and the federal Indian Gaming Regulatory Act. The tribes must file their lawsuit by April 1, 2025.

On a related note, the legality of certain fantasy sports in California is also under review by the state attorney general, following a request from Senator Scott Wilk. This review aims to determine whether daily fantasy sports should be classified as games of chance or skill. While the attorney general’s opinion won’t be binding, Siva expressed hope that the decision will align with the tribes’ interests. If not, the tribes are prepared to challenge any outcome that threatens their sovereignty.

Siva concluded by emphasizing that whatever sports betting initiative emerges from California will be innovative and tailored to the state’s unique landscape. “We have started to think outside the box,” he said, noting that a fresh framework is necessary for the state.